ADA-USD
Price history (daily)
Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
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Signal
Why — what's pushing the scoreLeaning down · Score -19.88
Trend strength (ADX): 1.00
Risk
8.00
Risk score
out of 10
| Volatility right now | Choppy |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 6.1549% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +106.01% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -5.37% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -83.50% |
| Likely bad day (calibrated) | -5.25% |
| Bound's track record | breached 3 of last 100 days |
| Behavior last shifted | Aug 22, 2026 |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
Beat buy-and-hold+62.37%Oct 14, 2025 – Sep 17, 2026 · 350 days
| Following the signal | -9.51% |
| Just holding | -71.88% |
| Difference | +62.37% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -1.52 |
| Worst drop | -10.65% |
| Winning trades | 0.00% · 1 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
-0.7834 headlines counted
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 47.0125 |
| macd_hist | -0.002575 |
| adx_14 | 28.8661 |
| atr_pct | 6.1549 |
| ema_50 | 0.19917 |
| ema_200 | 0.233202 |
| bb_pct | 0.30955 |
| stoch_k | 15.3462 |