BTC-USD
Price history (daily)
Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
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Signal
Why — what's pushing the scoreNo clear direction · Score -19.68
Trend strength (ADX): 0.66 · The trend is too weak to trust right now, so we hold it at neutral.
Risk
4.00
Risk score
out of 10
| Volatility right now | Calm |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 1.2981% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +21.76% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -3.52% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -52.97% |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
Beat buy-and-hold+31.05%Sep 11, 2025 – Jul 19, 2026 · 328 days
| Following the signal | -13.26% |
| Just holding | -44.31% |
| Difference | +31.05% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -1.07 |
| Worst drop | -15.27% |
| Winning trades | 0.00% · 4 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
0.05530 headlines counted
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 53.4803 |
| macd_hist | -24.2404 |
| adx_14 | 16.5396 |
| atr_pct | 1.2981 |
| ema_50 | 64,841 |
| ema_200 | 72,732 |
| bb_pct | 0.596769 |
| stoch_k | 72.2594 |