DOGE-USD
Price history (daily)
Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
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Signal
Why — what's pushing the scoreLeaning down · Score -18.95
Trend strength (ADX): 1.00
Risk
7.00
Risk score
out of 10
| Volatility right now | Normal |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 5.1147% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +76.62% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -4.33% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -74.03% |
| Likely bad day (calibrated) | -4.03% |
| Bound's track record | breached 5 of last 100 days |
| Behavior last shifted | Aug 22, 2026 |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
Beat buy-and-hold+55.24%Oct 15, 2025 – Sep 17, 2026 · 350 days
| Following the signal | -3.64% |
| Just holding | -58.88% |
| Difference | +55.24% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -0.72 |
| Worst drop | -5.87% |
| Winning trades | 0.00% · 1 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
-0.644 headlines counted
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 45.5648 |
| macd_hist | -0.001183 |
| adx_14 | 30.418 |
| atr_pct | 5.1147 |
| ema_50 | 0.081536 |
| ema_200 | 0.091233 |
| bb_pct | 0.238145 |
| stoch_k | 14.1924 |