ETH-USD
Price history (daily)
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
We're gathering the latest data and an AI model is writing the plain-language analysis. This can take up to a minute the first time — after that it's saved and loads instantly.
Signal
Risk
| Volatility right now | Choppy |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 3.8621% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +73.74% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -4.61% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -66.53% |
| Likely bad day (calibrated) | -2.92% |
| Bound's track record | breached 5 of last 100 days |
| Behavior last shifted | Aug 22, 2026 |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
| Following the signal | -9.49% |
| Just holding | -36.53% |
| Difference | +27.05% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -0.56 |
| Worst drop | -23.86% |
| Winning trades | +80.00% · 5 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
The charts and the news are pointing in opposite directions — often the most interesting moment to take a closer look.
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 53.8297 |
| macd_hist | -24.598 |
| adx_14 | 47.5446 |
| atr_pct | 3.8621 |
| ema_50 | 2,285 |
| ema_200 | 2,182 |
| bb_pct | 0.369649 |
| stoch_k | 20.1248 |