GBP-USD
Price history (daily)
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
We're gathering the latest data and an AI model is writing the plain-language analysis. This can take up to a minute the first time — after that it's saved and loads instantly.
Signal
Risk
| Volatility right now | Normal |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 0.2945% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +7.81% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -0.72% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -5.15% |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
| Following the signal | +1.44% |
| Just holding | -2.23% |
| Difference | +3.67% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | 3.48 |
| Worst drop | -0.02% |
| Winning trades | +100.00% · 5 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 56.7927 |
| macd_hist | 0.00223 |
| adx_14 | 26.0779 |
| atr_pct | 0.294466 |
| ema_50 | 1.3379 |
| ema_200 | 1.3386 |
| bb_pct | 0.802177 |
| stoch_k | 89.0861 |