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IR-COIN-BAHAR

Price history (daily)

Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average

The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.

Plain-language report

Writing the report…

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Signal

Why — what's pushing the scoreNo clear direction · Score 6.21
Trend (EMA)
21.90
Momentum (MACD)
4.22
Overbought / oversold (RSI)
-5.26
Price band position
-14.65
Trading volume
0.00
Trend strength (ADX): 0.95

Risk

4.00
Risk score
out of 10
Volatility right nowNormal
Daily swing (ATR %)2.074%
Volatility (30-day)+43.08%
Likely bad day (VaR 95%)-3.27%
Worst drop (1 year)-24.10%

Iranian assets can jump on a single policy decision — a risk that a 250-day history underrates. That's why we never let their risk score drop below 4.

On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated

Did the signal actually work?

Lost to buy-and-hold-636.08%May 10, 2023Jul 18, 2026 · 921 days
Following the signal-90.57%
Just holding+545.50%
Difference-636.08%
Return vs. risk (Sharpe)-3.38
Worst drop-90.68%
Winning trades+13.80% · 58 trades

We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.

News mood

-0.14211 headlines counted
Steady

Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.

Position-size helper

For illustration only. You type your own numbers — we never store them. This is not investment advice.

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