IR-COIN-BAHAR
Price history (daily)
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
We're gathering the latest data and an AI model is writing the plain-language analysis. This can take up to a minute the first time — after that it's saved and loads instantly.
Signal
Risk
| Volatility right now | Normal |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 1.8619% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +35.95% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -3.26% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -24.10% |
| Likely bad day (calibrated) | -2.67% |
| Bound's track record | breached 4 of last 100 days |
| Behavior last shifted | Apr 7, 2026 |
⚠ Iranian assets can jump on a single policy decision — a risk that a 250-day history underrates. That's why we never let their risk score drop below 4.
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
| Following the signal | -92.32% |
| Just holding | +779.81% |
| Difference | -872.12% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -3.66 |
| Worst drop | -92.39% |
| Winning trades | +9.50% · 63 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
The charts and the news are pointing in opposite directions — often the most interesting moment to take a closer look.
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 63.1759 |
| macd_hist | -13,374,314 |
| adx_14 | 41.4014 |
| atr_pct | 1.8619 |
| ema_50 | 2,073,339,544 |
| ema_200 | 1,817,139,083 |
| bb_pct | 0.619523 |
| stoch_k | 57.6909 |