IR-GOLD-18K
Price history (daily)
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
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Signal
Risk
| Volatility right now | Normal |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 2.013% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +33.62% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -3.19% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -24.07% |
| Likely bad day (calibrated) | -2.41% |
| Bound's track record | breached 2 of last 100 days |
| Behavior last shifted | Apr 30, 2026 |
⚠ Iranian assets can jump on a single policy decision — a risk that a 250-day history underrates. That's why we never let their risk score drop below 4.
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
| Following the signal | -93.06% |
| Just holding | +904.98% |
| Difference | -998.04% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -3.77 |
| Worst drop | -92.97% |
| Winning trades | +7.90% · 63 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 65.5679 |
| macd_hist | -1,293,293 |
| adx_14 | 48.8902 |
| atr_pct | 2.013 |
| ema_50 | 211,495,230 |
| ema_200 | 184,435,411 |
| bb_pct | 0.655679 |
| stoch_k | 59.6741 |