NZD-USD
Price history (daily)
Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
Writing the report…
We're gathering the latest data and an AI model is writing the plain-language analysis. This can take up to a minute the first time — after that it's saved and loads instantly.
Signal
Why — what's pushing the scoreNo clear direction · Score -8.34
Trend strength (ADX): 1.00
Risk
2.00
Risk score
out of 10
| Volatility right now | Calm |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 0.3743% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +8.94% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -0.81% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -8.32% |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
Beat buy-and-hold+3.99%Jan 27, 2026 – Jul 17, 2026 · 121 days
| Following the signal | +1.26% |
| Just holding | -2.73% |
| Difference | +3.99% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | 1.47 |
| Worst drop | -1.04% |
| Winning trades | +83.30% · 6 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
-0.2384 headlines counted
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 61.3842 |
| macd_hist | 0.002388 |
| adx_14 | 29.4763 |
| atr_pct | 0.374261 |
| ema_50 | 0.578939 |
| ema_200 | 0.583804 |
| bb_pct | 0.92506 |
| stoch_k | 96.0251 |