XAG-USD
Price history (daily)
Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
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Signal
Why — what's pushing the scoreNo clear direction · Score 3.05
Trend strength (ADX): 0.75 · The trend is too weak to trust right now, so we hold it at neutral.
Risk
6.00
Risk score
out of 10
| Volatility right now | Normal |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 3.1316% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +43.97% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -4.92% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -52.35% |
| Likely bad day (calibrated) | -3.74% |
| Bound's track record | breached 6 of last 100 days |
| Behavior last shifted | Feb 13, 2026 |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
Beat buy-and-hold+3.74%May 2, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026 · 133 days
| Following the signal | -13.02% |
| Just holding | -16.76% |
| Difference | +3.74% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -1.17 |
| Worst drop | -15.04% |
| Winning trades | +40.00% · 5 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
0.114 headlines counted
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 41.9897 |
| macd_hist | -0.543841 |
| adx_14 | 18.7406 |
| atr_pct | 3.1316 |
| ema_50 | 64.5911 |
| ema_200 | 66.3268 |
| bb_pct | 0.105233 |
| stoch_k | 14.8989 |