XAU-USD
Price history (daily)
Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
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Signal
Why — what's pushing the scoreNo clear direction · Score 1.31
Trend strength (ADX): 1.00
Risk
3.00
Risk score
out of 10
| Volatility right now | Calm |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 0.1749% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +8.38% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -2.22% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -28.01% |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
Beat buy-and-hold+2.08%May 28, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026 · 77 days
| Following the signal | -7.96% |
| Just holding | -10.04% |
| Difference | +2.08% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -3.13 |
| Worst drop | -9.65% |
| Winning trades | +66.70% · 3 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
-0.1251 headlines counted
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 39.6416 |
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| atr_pct | 0.174919 |
| ema_50 | 4,071 |
| ema_200 | 4,290 |
| bb_pct | -0.027845 |
| stoch_k | 13.9472 |