EUR-USD
Price history (daily)
Up dayDown day20-day average50-day average200-day average
The averages smooth out the daily noise. When price is above them and they slope up, the trend is up.
Plain-language report
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Signal
Why — what's pushing the scoreNo clear direction · Score -3.03
Trend strength (ADX): 1.00
Risk
2.00
Risk score
out of 10
| Volatility right now | Normal |
| Daily swing (ATR %) | 0.2298% |
| Volatility (30-day) | +7.05% |
| Likely bad day (VaR 95%) | -0.61% |
| Worst drop (1 year) | -5.29% |
On about 5 days out of 100, a one-day loss bigger than this is normal. It doesn't say how bad the worst days get — that's why we always show it next to the worst drop. How risk is calculated →
Did the signal actually work?
Beat buy-and-hold+3.42%Jan 27, 2026 – Jul 17, 2026 · 121 days
| Following the signal | -0.76% |
| Just holding | -4.18% |
| Difference | +3.42% |
| Return vs. risk (Sharpe) | -0.90 |
| Worst drop | -1.13% |
| Winning trades | +57.10% · 7 trades |
We include trading costs on every trade (Iran gold & coin spreads at 2.5%). We tune on the first 60% of history and only show results on the untouched last 40%. It's measured on limited data — not a promise either way.
News mood
-0.3014 headlines counted
Last 72 hours, recent news counts more.
Position-size helper
Latest indicators
| rsi_14 | 46.6199 |
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| atr_pct | 0.229796 |
| ema_50 | 1.1509 |
| ema_200 | 1.1571 |
| bb_pct | 0.690171 |
| stoch_k | 74.094 |